Arkansas City, Kansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

079
FXUS63 KICT 131128
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
628 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy fog early this morning southeast Kansas.

- An isolated thunderstorm or two can`t be ruled out this afternoon
  through early evening.

- Warming trend starts today, with triple digit heat indices
  Thursday through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 219 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

FOG EARLY THIS MORNING:

Patchy dense fog is possible through about 9 AM along/east of the
Flint Hills, amidst light winds and moist low-levels. Will monitor
observational trends for a possible dense fog advisory if needed.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES:

THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING...Cannot rule out a few very
isolated thunderstorms this afternoon through early evening, as a
weak upper trough moves southeast over the region, amidst continued
cooler temperatures aloft. Given how isolated activity is expected
to be, decided against including a mention in the forecast. Weak
deep layer shear and modest instability will preclude strong or
severe storms.

THURSDAY AND BEYOND...Mostly dry weather is expected through Sunday,
as upper ridging builds slowly eastward over the region. As we head
into Sunday night/Monday and beyond, thunderstorm chances may enter
back into the forecast, as deterministic consensus progresses
another cold front south into Mid-America, and the upper ridge
attempts to break down some.

TEMPERATURES:

Building upper ridging and increasing southerly flow will support a
warming trend back into the 90s by today and especially Thursday
through early next week. Additionally, dewpoints in the 60s to low
70s will support a return to triple digit heat indices for the same
time period during the afternoon through early evening hours, with
up to around 105 degrees Friday through Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 619 AM CDT Wed Aug 13 2025

Mostly VFR conditions will prevail for most sites the next 24
hours. The only caveat will be CNU for a few hours early this
morning, with LIFR conditions prevailing there through about
14z. Furthermore, cannot rule a few stray isolated
thunderstorms across the region this afternoon through early
evening, but most locations will remain dry.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...ADK
AVIATION...ADK